#CKMKB : How Chinese will lose in Combat with India in Ladakh as per Studies

India’s primary advantage is that unlike the Chinese People Liberation Army (PLA), its conflicts with Pakistan and low-intensity border skirmishes have served to maintain the army’s battle hardiness.

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After China's 1967 Lost the War Indian Soldiers returning PLA Soldier who don't want to go back due to fear of Punishment by CCP

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Part-1 India vs China studies by the Belfer Centre at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government in Boston and the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) in Washington D C Put India into strong Position

Two studies from the Belfer Centre at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government in Boston and the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) in Washington D C, seem to suggest that a China attempt at military adventurism could prompt difficulties for China.

*India’s primary advantage is that unlike the Chinese People Liberation Army (PLA), its conflicts with Pakistan and low-intensity border skirmishes have served to maintain the army’s battle hardiness, said the October 2019 report of the Center for a New American Security, titled Imbalance of Power: India’s Military Choices in an Era of Strategic Competition with China.

*“The PLA, on the other hand, has not experienced the crucible of combat since its conflict with Vietnam in 1979,” it added. That month-long border war which was started by China to counter Vietnam’s thrust into neighboring Cambodia resulted in a PLA Defeat which was outfought by a Vietnamese battle-hardened in combat against the United States.

Part-2 : Who says that our soldiers were 'shastrheen'? Only weapons can't defeat enemy. Courage, valour and patriotism are sometimes enough to make enemy lick the dust. Brave Indian Soldier's broke Neck of 18 PLA Soldiers and Made them run away, 43 Chinese troops died, including one senior officer Salute to our brave soldiers. #GalwanValleyFaceOff

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What really happened on 15th June Night and Why so many PLA Soldiers are so afraid now from 15 June violent face-off between the Indian and Chinese Armed Forces at the Galwan Valley in Eastern Ladakh

On 15th June Night One Very reputed Colonel of Bihar Regiment was killed by deception when he went to a meeting that aimed to de-escalate the tension.

Around 60 soldiers of the Bihar Regt went on a rampage upon hearing their father figure like CO was killed in such a manner. Despite strict orders issued from the command center, they intruded into the border & rained down 1 of the most fearsome attacks of primitive fight methods.

without guns blazing, you will ever witness in modern military history on the backtracking PLA platoon that couldn’t make out what hit their sorry souls. At least Eighteen PLA soldiers were left with their necks snapped, dangling from their body, few had their vertebrae broken indicating massive force being exerted on their bodies pointing to a gruesome frontal assault and few had their faces charred probably stoned heavily. Some of those PLA soldiers were thrown in the gorge nearby and in this melee, few of our soldiers went down as well.

The Indian soldiers came back & told how they heard PLA soldiers screaming at high pitched girly voices. Few Indian soldiers whose body were later returned had their guts spilling out probably while the lucky ones managed 2 escape in nearby mountains when PLA troops multiplied. after being informed from their squadron about the attack who came back only to see a pool of bodies lying, and relieved the lying Indian soldiers there from their pain. A figure much bigger than reported 43, can be 100 easily if not 150.and injury style, it has Ghatak written all over it. While some Biharis managed to come back screaming in pain; at the same time, they were at peace and continuously chanting war cries to have avenged their fallen commander.

Now the silence is all over the camp but the next batch of soldiers are pumped up if the situation be. Few soldiers have been airlifted to army hospitals, while they have their morales high; they miss their commander in chief and comrades. Sentiment across PLA is furious.Battalions are ready 4 a full-fledged war but top commanders aren’t willing upon seeing the ratio of damage. They held another meeting after the attack in which some of our soldiers went secretly armed with khukuri & other objects. 

The tone of PLA Colonel was sympathetic and he was willing to restore the status quo. And let me tell you one more thing, a lot of other things happened on many points throughout the Indo-China border.

Indian Army has world's most experienced mountain troops, says Chinese military expert

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Indian Army has world's most experienced Combat Expertise

"At present, the world’s largest and experienced country with plateau and mountain troops is neither the US, Russia, nor any European powerhouse, but India," Huang Guozhi, senior editor of Modern Weaponry magazine, wrote in an article published by China’s thepaper.cn on Tuesday.

His remarks coincided with the current military standoff between India-China troops along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).

Mountain brigades being raised by India are mostly meant for the Chinese border, especially the Tibetan plateau, and it is perhaps the first time a Chinese military expert publicly complimented their strength and strategic importance.

 

"With more than 200,000 troops in 12 divisions, the Indian mountain force is the largest mountain fighting force in the world,” Huang wrote.

 

Huang said that since the 1970s, the Indian military has established and expanded the size and personnel of the mountain troops on a large-scale, and also plans to create a mountain strike force of more than 50,000 troops.

 

The CNAS report points out that India has the home advantage of already having more than its 34,000 troops “in position.”

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Mountainous terrain is a double-edged sword for Chinese Troops

"With more than 200,000 troops in 12 divisions, the Indian mountain force is the largest mountain fighting force in the world,” Huang wrote.

However, being holed up in mountainous terrain is a double-edged sword for Chinese Troops. Troops could find it difficult to move in order to plug gaps in the line when under artillery and missile strikes, the CNAS report says. the Chinese face greater privations. The majority of their units in Tibet and Xinjiang are second-echelon troops tasked with suppressing insurrection in these two areas, coupled with exigencies of maintaining border security along the Russian frontier. To move these troops hundreds of kilometers into Aksai Chin would require using rail lines or mountain roads, which are vulnerable to airstrikes by the Indian Air Force (IAF).

According to the Belfer study, India can wield about 270 fighters and 68 nuclear-weapons certified ground-attack aircraft against an opposing military offensive, without weakening its defenses arrayed against Pakistan. India’s maintenance of several advanced landing grounds in the area are critical to staging and supporting potential airstrikes.


While China has 157 fighters and 44 ground-attack drones in the area, most of them are 700 kilometers from the Aksai Chin. The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has eight airbases in the region, but most of those are civilian airfields locatated at high altitude. It has no advanced landing grounds around Aksay Chin.

"The high altitude of Chinese air bases in Tibet and Xinjiang, plus the generally difficult geographic and weather conditions of the region, means that Chinese fighters are limited to carrying around half their design payload and fuel, " "the Belfer study says.

The study also gives the IAF, with its all-weather Mirage 2000s and Sukhoi Su-30s, a qualitative edge over the Chinese J-10s, J-11s and Su-27 fighters in the region. Only the J-10 is an all-weather aircraft.

Much like the Indian Army, the IAF has a degree of institutional experience in “networked” aerial combat unlike the PLAAF, the Belfer study adds. One way to keep the IAF down is through missile strikes on the airfields. But according to a former Indian Air Force official quoted in the study, China would need 220 ballistic missiles to knock out a single Indian airfield for a day.

“China’s stock of 1,000-1,200 missiles will be over in less than two days when attacking just three airfields, with no other major target systems like C2 centres or air defence units being addressed,” the officer says.

While the chance of the Galwan River Valley incident becoming a flashpoint for a larger conflict is as remote as the valley it happened in, the rising tensions between the two Asian nations is all too real.

While the Chinese could deploy more troops and newer specialized weaponry such as the Type 15 light tank, India’s battlefield experience and involvement in sophisticated joint exercises with advanced world militaries, including the United States, could alter the balance, the CNAS report claimed.


**One thing is clear: the armies that fought the 1962 engagement no longer exist.**

Much like the Indian Army, the IAF has a degree of institutional experience in “networked” aerial combat unlike the PLAAF

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Sources For this Article Mentioned Below:

1.) Two studies from the Belfer Centre at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government in Boston and the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) in Washington D C.

2.) Chinese could lose in combat with India in Ladakh: Studies, link- https://www.deccanherald.com/national/chinese-could-lose-in-combat-with-india-in-ladakh-studies-851712.html

3.) Bhaavna Arora (@BhaavnaArora) - Independent Analyst


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